With the news of Glenn Robinson III reportedly hiring an agent and entering the NBA Draft, now is as good a time as ever to kick-off our latest content series, “Should He Stay or Should He Go?”
Robinson is currently rated as a late first round pick, according to ESPN’s Chad Ford. Depending on what he shows at the combine, he could either jump up into lottery contention or fall into the depths of the second round.
Aside from combine performance, let’s take a look at what we’ve seen from Robinson on film over the last two seasons.
In his freshman year, Robinson averaged 11 points per game and shot nearly 58 percent from the floor. At times, he showed the ability to be an great scorer, but many of his baskets came from the transition game and getting easy looks from guys like Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr., and so on.
At 6-6, 220 lbs, He displayed the athleticism in the transition game that has made NBA scouts drool over him since he stepped foot on campus in Ann Arbor. In a weak draft class last season, he was grading out as a lottery pick (as was his fellow freshman and good friend, Mitch McGary), but ultimately spurned the the draft for a chance to come back to Michigan and polish up his game.
This past season, it was a struggle for Robinson at times. In the post-Burke and Hardaway era, he was being counted on to be the go-to guy for this Wolverines team, a role that would eventually be captured by fellow NBA Draft hopeful Nik Stauskas.
One of the biggest knocks on Robinson is that at times, he appears complacent and is not very aggressive on offensive. This was amplified in games where his jump shots were not falling early, and was something that was constant during his first two seasons in Ann Arbor.
This year, his scoring average did rise to just over 13 points per game, but his struggles were definitely more apparent with the expectations of an increased role in the offense. He shot just 48 percent from the floor, 30 percent from beyond the arc. Robinson is the ultimate feast or famine player with his jumper, and that manifested itself into both fantastic and horrid nights from the floor for him in 2013-14.
The turning point in Robinson’s season came in mid-February, where he scored double-digit points in 12 of the last 13 games of the season. It seemed as if he placed more of an emphasis on getting baskets in the lane and getting to the free throw line, which is something he was have to do to be successful in the league.
So, should he stay or should he go?
Verdict: The NBA Draft is the ultimate “what-if” in all of sports right now. With so many young, unproven players entering the league, the focus has shifted from what scouts see on tape to what they think they could see on tape in the future, given a prospects measurables. Robinson has the ability to be a very good slashing wing player at the next level, and that is why teams are willing to take a chance on him.
Personally, if I were advising him, I do believe that one more year in college would benefit him from a mental standpoint. Developing that “killer instinct” is what separates great college players from the good ones, and seeing a more consistent Robinson in a junior season at Michigan would make both fans and scouts happy.
That being said, the biggest question that has to be asked when evaluating college players is, “Are they as good as they can possibly be?” Athletically speaking, Robinson is ready. Mentally, many are still trying to figure that out.
It appears that Robinson’s decision may already be made, and he will be a good prospect if/when he enters the NBA Draft, but one more year would benefit all parties involved here.